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FUBO TV

April 17, 2024
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Sports lovers love FUBO

 

 

Current share price: $2.93

Market Capitalisation: $572m

IPO Date: 7 October 2020

 

fuboTV is a live streaming service that provides access to entertainment and lifestyle channels, as well as local news and sports networks. It originally launched in 2015 as a sports-only streaming option, but it has since added more fuboTV channels to become an all-encompassing option for people looking to cut the cord on cable. Even better, it enables subscribers to watch some sports in up to 4K video quality.

 

Another key difference between fuboTV and its competitors is its navigation. Sports lovers, in particular, will enjoy this feature, as they are able to filter their options by league, sport, or team. The same applies to entertainment and news channels, as the service enables viewers to search by genre and network, as well as the standard guide for live TV and local options.

 

THE POSITIVES

 

fuboTV grew its subscriber count at lightning speed in recent years. The companys third-quarter financial results of 2022 beat Wall Street's expectations, driven by a 31% year-over-year increase in subscribers in North America. 

 

After hitting a 52-week low of $2.32 earlier this year, the stock price rebounded to roughly $3.50. The company's market cap (total shares outstanding times the share price) looks low at $572 million for a fast-growing streaming business chasing a massive growth opportunity

 

Competition is fierce in the live TV streaming market with several alternatives from major content providers, such as Alphabet's YouTube, Walt Disney's Hulu, and DirecTV Stream. fuboTV's business strategy is simple: it makes money from subscriptions and advertising and reinvests in broadcast rights to stream live sporting events. The goal is to win subscribers for the sports shows, where fuboTV is widely seen as the leader, and retain them with other offerings across news and movies that can be streamed live or on-demand.

 

One sign that fuboTV is winning the battle is its recent advertising revenue growth. In the third quarter, fuboTV reported total revenue of $219 million for North America, with ad revenue reaching $22.5 million, growing 21% year over year. 

 

In advertising, fuboTV significantly outperformed Walt Disney's cable networks, where ESPN's ad revenue fell 23% year over year. Disney also called out lower advertising revenue at Hulu and Disney+ Hotstar, the international arm of Disney+. 

 

Moreover, Roku, the leading TV streaming aggregator, reported that its platform revenue, which includes advertising and revenue-sharing agreements with third-party subscription services, grew 15% year over year last quarter -- much lower than fuboTV's total revenue growth of 43%. 

 

The fact that fuboTV is growing faster than these competitors, particularly in advertising, is indicative of its subscriber engagement and the competitiveness of its offering.

 

THE NEGATIVES

 

fuboTV is unprofitable, but what if thats a good thing, just for now? Let me explain.

 

Through the first three quarters of 2022, fuboTV reported a net loss of $410 million, which is worse than last year's $271 million. Management's goal is for the company to reach positive free cash flow by 2025. It recently closed the fuboTV Sportsbook business, which management had hoped to integrate with live sports streaming to increase engagement, to help reach its profit goals.

 

However, a lot can change the competitive landscape in three years. What if fuboTV loses market share to well-financed competitors and further delays its profit goals? In that scenario, the business could be in trouble. Alphabet has billions of cash resources to invest in YouTube TV, which has the brand and built-in user base to be a tough competitor.

 

If there's one advantage fuboTV has over these companies, it's the fact that it is losing money. Netflix built clout with investors for its high operating margin, which could get wiped out if it chased expensive sports programming. fuboTV's willingness to absorb huge losses is a strong deterrent for new entrants.

 

CONCLUSION
 

A lack of profitability is why the stock price fell nearly 90% over the last year. The stock is not likely going to sustain a rally until investors see sustained improvement on the bottom line, so it's best to keep the stock on a watchlist and perhaps consider other streaming stocks right now, if you have a lower risk appetite

 

Disclosure: I own shares in FUBO at time of writing. Full position built unless I see a significant pullback to under my cost price.

 

Disclaimer: Nothing in this article should be seen as financial advice. Everything stated is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence.

 

 

 

 


 

 


 


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